Prediction updated to factor in two weather systems that have a direct bearing on the performance of southwest monsoon. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) on Tuesday upped its 2021 monsoon forecast to 101 percent of the Long Period Average (LPA), meaning most parts of the country can expect to get normal to above normal rainfall. Rainfall between 96-104 per cent of the LPA is considered a normal rainfall. The forecast is with a model error of plus and minus 4 percent. The above normal forecast excludes except parts of East and North-East India. The Long Period Average (LPA) of the four-month southwest monsoon season that starts from June is 88 centimeters. Releasing the second stage forecast for 2021 monsoon season , IMD said that the forecast has been revised upwards due to prevailing neutral El Nino conditions along with neutral Indian Ocean Dipole, the two weather systems that have a direct bearing on the performance of southwest monsoon in India. In its first sta...